Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Tuesday 27th November 2012

Poor stuff today, but one good looking bet.

3.00 Lingfield Pensnett Bay 5pts win @ 4/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 7/2 generally guaranteed)

Not sure about the favourite's ability to handle ground this testing and Pensnett Bay looks a nice price for one proven on heavy ground. The selection ran a much better race on seasonal debut than his finishing position suggests, and that was a better contest than todays. I think he is overpriced in relation to the favourite and his sire Karinga Bay has an extremely strong record with his progeny on soft and heavy ground.


Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +39.70 / year: +19.80

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