Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Wednesday 28th November 2012

I'm not sure the race panned out well for Silver Wind this afternoon, he ran well but finished only third.

One selection for Wednesday Evening.

6.00 Kempton Communicator 5pts win @ 9/2 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, William Hill, Independents, guaranteed)

Communicator has improved no end towards the back end of this flat season, and I find it interesting his trainer keeps him going to contest this listed contest. He is closely matched with Art Scholar, but I think that rival is better on turf and I am prepared to give Communicator a chance to prove himself on the all weather. He ran fairly well here on his only polytrack start, but he has improved no end since and Andrew Balding's horses tend to go well here - the trainer boasts a very useful 16% strike rate at this track. I'm not sure Harris Tweed is the horse he once was, and I am also happy to take on Media Hype on this surface. In fact I think both look very short and the main danger could be Roxy Flyer. As a progressive horse who has posted lifetime best Racing Post Ratings on his last three starts, the selection is recommended at a price which looks a bit too generous.

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Afternoon Bet:


Just one selection for this afternoon. We may have an evening bet for Kempton, details either way before 3.30pm.

1.10 Wolverhampton Silver Wind 5pts win @ 6/1 (VC Bet, Paddy Power, guaranteed, 11/2 generally guaranteed)

Ran a really nice race at Doncaster last time out, travelling well on ground that was probably too slow for his liking, as evidenced by the slow time of the race. Silver Wind returns to polytrack today off a mark of OR60 which he is well capable of winning off, and he has the assistance of the excellent Graham Gibbons in the saddle. Alan McCabe's horses seem to be running into their usual good winter form, and from stall 5 I think the selection looks overpriced in relation to Speightstowns Kid and Pelmanism. His recent form if probably stronger, and at the prices he merits backing as a triple course winner.


Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +29.70 / year: +9.80

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