1.20 Kempton Mudaawen 4pts win @ 5/1 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, William Hill, guaranteed)
Represents a stable who have had an unusually quiet winter but are just coming into form with two recent winners. The selection caught the eye with late run a couple of times in maidens last summer, and although ditched by Hamdan Al Maktoum, it is interesting Mark Johnston retained him and breeding very much suggests artificial surfaces are where he will thrive. A handicap mark of OR65 does not overburden him and if he is fit and ready to go, then I think his price is too big. Camachoice looks a bit quirky and is probably bred for further, while Derwentwater is very moderate despite his connections. Take Mudaawem at the guaranteed 5/1.
3.40 Wolverhampton Lord Of The Dance 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (VC Bet, 12/1 generally guaranteed) - WON @16/1
Lord Of The Dance has form turned out quickly and travelled much better than his finishing position suggested on Saturday at this track. The extended mile stretches him around here and it probably didn't help that he saw plenty of daylight - generally he likes to come from behind off a strong pace. The drop back to seven furlongs will suit him this afternoon and there is pace in the race which might set this up for him. I made him an 8/1 shot on my tissue, double figures is too big.
Profit & loss: day: +54.40 / month: -12.49 / year: -12.49
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