Thursday, January 3, 2013

Thursday 27th December 2012

One bet for Thursday.

2.05 Kempton Menorah 5pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON

Elements of Menorah's Novice form would suggest he is the one to be on here. He followed up a decent run in the Arkle (better than the distance beaten suggests) with an impressive defeat of Cristal Bonus and Al Ferof at Aintree, form which looks all the more impressive now. He disappointed behind Cue Card on his reappearance, but Philip Hobbs is not a trainer to follow first time out and his horses tend to come on for a run. The stable sent Captain Chris out to go close to winning the King George yesterday, which would suggest Hobbs has his string in good form. at 9/2 the selection looks at least a point overpriced to me and, given a clear round, I think he should win.

Profit & loss: day: +22.50 / month: -81.50 / year: -79.70

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