Thursday, January 31, 2013

Wednesday 16th January 2013

A busy day for us. We have possible evening bets to follow, details at 3.30pm.

1.00 Lingfield Shaolin 5pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Made a really nice debut in a Newbury maiden last June that has worked out very well, throwing up a classic hopeful and numerous OR90+ sorts. It looks eons away from the standard required to win this, but there was a suggestion that Shaolin was able to keep pace with some of the better horses before his early keenness told. He travelled very well having been alertly away and despite fading, it was probably to be expected given the company he was keeping and the extra energy he expended in racing with the choke out. He looks a physically nice horse and would probably only need to be an OR70+ type to win here. He has been well supported and the stable had a horse run really well at a big price the other day. His sire is 15% at the track and I expect he'll go off close to favourite now.

3.10 Lingfield Peter Island 3pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, VC Bet, Coral, Independents, guaranteed)

The booking of a good 7lb claimer really catches the eye here, especially because Peter Island's mark of OR66 is a very fair one. He is a ten year old now, but he has gone well fresh in the past and he showed on a couple of occasions last summer that he hasn't lost any of his zip - he made all over five furlongs of Brighton to post an RPR of 77 off OR68 and it may be connections are trying to take advantage of his lower mark of this surface. He has come up trumps with a stall one draw and looking at the other front runners drawn further outside, he should be able to get the lead and play catch me if you can. At double figure odds, he is overpriced and should be supported to small stakes.


Profit & loss: day: -8.00 / month: -14.49 / year: -14.49

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