Two selections for today.
3.10 Kempton - The King George - Riverside Theatre 4pts win @ 6/1 (VC Bet, 11/2 Bet 365, Boylesports, Ladbrokes, guaranteed)
Is one of the few horses in this race who has been trained specifically for the day and has broken through the RPR 170+ barrier on a regular basis. In fact, he has posted RPR's of 171+ on four of his last five chase starts and for a horse who goes well fresh he is remarkably tough and consistent. This does not look a vintage renewal outside of Long Run, whose 180+ RPR's were all achieved up against Kauto Star and Denman and you have to wonder if some of the ratings were inflated due to those two rivals not being at their peak. the other 180+ was achieved against Burton Port and I'm really not sure where the rating comes from. Riverside Theatre has had only ten chase starts and still looks open to progress. He hails from the right stable and has his regular top jockey on board, he has already come second in this contest to a peak form Long Run and I think he is a better horse nowadays. Take him to land the big race at 11/2+.
Represents a stable who are both shrewd and who have a good record in Nurseries, including at this track. The selection was sent off a short priced 5/2fav on debut for a relatively weak maiden, but disappointed and followed up with two more quick runs in maiden company. He showed much more in a better maiden last time out at Kempton, settled detached in last having been keen early and doing all his best work at the finish. The form of that contest has been franked somewhat and I think the selection has plenty of improvement off this handicap mark providing he learns to settle. He looked a natural mover on the surface at Kempton on what was his all weather debut, and I expect him to go close today given the right ride.
Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: -104.00 / year: -102.20
No comments:
Post a Comment