Wednesday 30th January 2013

Another big winner this afternoon, Midnight Belle was impressive and I hope most of you took the 22/1 early doors.

One smaller interest for this evening.

6.20 Kempton Boris The Bold 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (Bet 365, VC Bet, William Hill, Independents, guaranteed) - E/W 3rd 

On the basis of his penultimate run, Boris The Bold looks worth an interest here. He finished third behind Commercial, finishing best of all from off the pace and with the runner up franking the form with a comfortable success since, the selection looks worth persevering with. A flop last time out can be attributed to the Standard To Slow going at Kempton that day, I'm not sure the selection was comfortable on the surface and I'm happy to put it down to an off day. The fact that he is turned out relatively quickly suggests this was the case, and quotes of 14/1 about him winning this dire affair look like something of an over reaction. He has the worst draw to overcome, but he needs holding up and the booking of George Baker is a major positive.

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Afternoon Bet:

We took each-way money with Arabian Flight yesterday, but she was probably in front plenty soon enough and her early exertions told as she was run out of it close home. She is one to keep an eye on, I can't fault her attitude and she'll win soon.

We may have an evening bet, details released before 4.00pm. 

One for this afternoon:

2.40 Ludlow Midnight Belle 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 22/1 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 20/1 generally guaranteed) - WON

Has travelled into her races well on numerous occasions but better ground is what she wants in my view, she is selected today with Ludlow described as soft - it won't be anywhere near the bog like conditions she races on at Uttoxeter last time out and, off a 3lb lower mark, I expect her to get involved. She steps back three furlongs in trip which should not present a problem given the way she travels, and this does not look an especially competitive contest. Chances are she could fade late on again, but if she gets away with the ground there is enough ability there to see her pick up one of these races, certainly before the season is out.

Profit & loss: day: +75.30 / month: +64.31 / year: +64.31