5.00 Wolverhampton Whiteflats 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - E/W 3rd @ 16/1
Followers of the Strikeline service will know Derek Shaw does well with 3yo sprinters, both in low grade maidens and handicaps, and particularly at this time of the year. In past years, we've advised Shwakantango @ 50/1 to win a handicap, and Nially Noo @ 40/1 to win a maiden, both at Southwell and representing the Shaw stable. Indeed the trainer should have a good line on this form because he trains Twist And Twirl, who finished second @ 66/1 to the favourite here, Dangerous Age, last time out. That horse looks plenty short enough at a best price 13/8 fav, and Whiteflats is another Shaw horse who merits attention against her at a price.
The selection showed much more than he had previously on his third last month at Lingfield over six furlongs. He showed good speed but was hampered after a furlong which no doubt cost him energy-wise late on. He faded, which was no surprise, but he had no problem laying up with Upavon, who posted an RPR of 81 in winning, or Hard Walnut, who won next time out. Indeed the well beaten third, Sand Boy, also won next time out and the fourth, Laudation and sixth, Irish Dream, both finished runner up on their next starts. The early pace was pretty uncompromising, and I think it is worth chancing Whiteflats in this evening's donkey derby given that he showed up so well and has been awarded a mark of OR45. Connections have gone to the trouble of booking a good lightweight jockey who is enjoying an excellent winter, and stall one is probably the plum draw if the selection tries to make all. With the dead eight lining up, we'll protect our stake with a part each-way bet.
5.30 Wolverhampton
Chateau Lola 3pts win @ 15/2 (Totesport, Betfred, VC Bet, William Hill, guaranteed)
Rightcar 3pts win @ 15/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Chateau Lola missed the break here on Monday and ran into trouble at various stages of the race. She has done well with the draw again and been berthed in stall 3; if she can get out sharper today she probably has the winning of a poorer looking contest. I mentioned the other day that she has been quite consistent this winter for one of her ability, and I think she will pop up sooner rather than later.
Peter Grayson's string are currently in the best form I've seen them since his heydey in 2007. It is hard to know how long that will last, but his Rightcar is another who looks attractively weighted and he is worth supporting. He had excuses at Kempton last time out, not getting the clearest of runs, and he has the speed for five furlongs which I'm not sure many of these have. He is another who needs things to drop right, but the stable's favoured claimer takes 5lb off and four career wins for a horse in this company is evidence that he has no problem getting the job done on his day.
6.00 Wolverhampton Jezza 4pts win @ 4/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON @ 9/2
Jezza was held up in a slowly run race last time over two miles here, and he caught the eye making a sweeping mid race move under a 7lb claimer who was brave enough in trying to negate a pace which was never going to suit him. Despite a smaller field, this looks like it might be run more truly, and the step back two furlongs in trip will suit a horse who travels really well. The booking of Luke Morris is always a positive, and it is worth noting that the selection carries weight well - his four career wins have come when carrying 9-8, 9-6, 9-12 and 9-4 in handicaps.
Profit & loss: day: +12.20 / month: -4.80 / year: +50.51
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