3.40 Lingfield Silverware 5pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Silverware's recent polytrack form is beginning to stack up quite well. There is no doubt Light From Mars and Polar Kite, who accounted for the selection at Kempton, have been two of the stars of the winter season with six wins between them, and both still seem to be on the up and up. Silverware cut out the donkey work for them and did really well to battle on and pull clear with them. His penultimate run came over a mile at this track, again the form looks well and he wasn't helped by having to tack across from a wide stall, the trip of a mile stretches him a little too. He looks the best handicapped horse in the race on this surface, and 9/2 looks fair given he has held Al's Memory last twice and that rival is generally half a point shorter. There is plenty of pace on despite the small field, but with Shane Kelly booked I think Dubawi Island might just be held up as an experiment, while Dr. Red Eye has fitness to prove. Once the fractions are kept fair and there is no pace burn up, I think the selection should win from a better draw.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -29.40 / year: +25.91
No comments:
Post a Comment