2.30 Wolverhampton Chateau Lola 2pts each-way AND 3pts win @ 10/1 (Coral, William Hill, guaranteed, 10/1 Sporting Bet, Blue Square, 888 Sport)
A career record of 1/21 might have people wondering why Chateau Lola is worth recommending so confidently, but she showed almost nothing on her first eight starts for Derek Shaw, who brings along his juveniles very gradually. Since then, she has actually been quite consistent on the all weather, winning at Southwell and finishing runner up over this course and distance twice. She actually posted a career best RPR in December when second to Lord Buffhead, all the more notable given the Shaw stable's horses were out of form at the time - they usually get going around now and three winners in the last fourteen days as well as a few improved performances are evidence that his string are well in themselves. The selection ran five days ago at Kempton, but the Racing Post have completely failed to pick up on the fact that she cornered very badly around Kempton's extremely sharp five furlong bend, and wasn't given anything like a hard time by Franny Norton once her chance had gone (finished back on the bridle). That kindness could be rewarded today back at a course she seems to enjoy. A handicap mark of OR50 offers room to improve, and a stall 4 draw and the presence of Joe Fanning in the plate are big positives. She has also won at Southwell, so today's forecast standard to slow polytrack might be no trouble to her. I think she should actually be around the price Love Club is - 11/2 - and as such I'm inclined to have a decent stake even though she is moderate. The re-application of the visor she won in for the first time this winter is the icing on the cake, it looks to me like today is the day and I wouldn't be surprised to see on course support. We'll play aggressively, with a minimal loss incurred should she run a place, and a 54pt profit should she win.
Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: +3.00 / year: +58.31
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