Saturday, February 16, 2013

Saturday 16th February 2013

Three interests for this afternoon.

2.40 Ascot Tatenen 5pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed - advised yesterday)

Loves Ascot and has likely been laid out for this contest since the postponement of the January 19th fixture he normally wins at. Tatenen seems to have been around for ages but he is only a nine year old and he might still be progressive - despite fading on a track / ground which doesn't suit him at Cheltenham last time out, he put in a superb round of jumping and that is a major positive at this track. Many of those in opposition this afternoon have other targets and are using this as a prep; I expect Tatenen to be spot on and if he gets in a rhythm at his fences I think he'll be hard to catch. A 15c Rule 4 will now apply following a non runner.

3.50 Ascot Somersby 4pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Another standing dish around this track where course form is so important. Somersby is usually extremely reliable around here, and consistent with it. He is probably exposed and done improving, but that doesn't stop him being a very good horse and if anything is to beat him today, they'll probably have to post an RPR of 170+ in my view - Sombersby has no problem posting RPR169's around here and his duels with Master Minded over the years represents top class form. I'm not sure Cue Card, Captain Chris or Finian's Rainbow are quite as good at Ascot, and 5/1 looks a great price.

4.35 Lingfield Harry Buckle 5pts win @ 3/1 (Totesport, Boylesports, Betfred, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed) - WON

One of the horses of the winter in my view, and I see no reason why he can't keep improving. The race didn't pan out for him last time and I don't think he enjoyed being in front. The shape of this race and likely pace looks set to suit him a bit better, and my feeling is he remains well handicapped. 3/1 guaranteed is available in a few places and I think it is well worth taking.


Profit & loss: day: +6.00 / month: +1.20 / year: +56.51

No comments: