Saturday, February 16, 2013

Wednesday 13th February 2013

The value this afternoon is at short prices. We may have an evening bet, details to be released before 5.00pm.

1pt double on this afternoon's selections - 4/1 and 15/8 generally available with guaranteed odds

3.00 Lingfield Fearless Lad 4pts win @ 4/1 (Bet 365, Boylesports, William Hill, independents, guaranteed)

Jimmy The Snooze doesn't set an exacting standard here and although the selection has already been clipped from a general 5/1, I like to see money when this stable is concerned and I would make the selection an 11/4 shot against the favourite. He travelled really well on debut held up well in rear, and stayed on strongly at the finish. He was quite well hidden by his jockey, and replays show he was difficult to pull up and was upsides the 1st and 2nd shortly after the finish line despite being eased. The kind ride he received that day could be rewarded here, and at the prices he looks the one to be on in what I think will develop into a match unless one of the other three improve from nowhere.

3.50 Southwell Dubawi Island 4pts win @ 2/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 15/8 generally guaranteed)

Represents an in form stable with a great record here and has the services of a jockey who has impressed all winter. Despite the short price, I think the selection is the bet of the Southwell card given the opposition here. He should be 2/2 at the track, he loves the surface and I'm quite sure there is further progression to be had off a handicap mark of OR85. Many of those in opposition today have negatives about them, and I think the selection's class will tell. He might have to battle for it late on, but there is no faulting his attitude in my view and I think he should win handy.


Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: -9.00 / year: +46.31

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