2.05 Sandown De Blacksmith 1pt each-way @ 50/1 (Generally, get guaranteed), AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP.
An interesting renewal but there are holes to be picked in a lot of the form on offer and I just thought it might be worth taking a flyer on De Blacksmith at a massive price. Gary Moore has always had the intention of sending him here and, if his last run is ignored, he is no 50/1 chance. He is a horse who is still developing, he travels and stays well and has a really game attitude. I expect to see him run better than his price suggests he should, and I'm happy to support him in this field.
2.55 Wolverhampton Alfred Hutchinson 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, Boylesports, Ladbrokes, William Hill, guaranteed)
Stable are in fine form and the selection might have this run to suit him. He tends to stalk the leaders and there's a it of pace on here which will suit. I think there is still room for progression off his current handicap mark, and for a horse who looks really progressive on the surface, a double figure price looks too big.
3.15 Sandown Arnaud 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 18/1 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 16/1 generally guaranteed)
Interests me that this horse is better handicapped in the U.K. than in Ireland, and that Charles Byrnes takes the trouble to send him over. Davy Russell turns up for the ride and OR135 probably underestimates him. His form with Blackstairmountain in January looks very solid and was a career best. He ran much better than his finishing position suggests last time out behind Zaidpour, and connections have since blamed that on the ground. A fifth behind Une Artiste at Cheltenham last season strongly suggests better ground will be in his favour and a County Hurdle entry suggests there might be a Charles Byrnes grand plan in action here. 16/1+ is too big.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -42.25 / year: -19.34
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