Sunday, March 31, 2013

Tuesday 26th March 2013

One selection for Tuesday.

3.30 Southwell Fairy Wing 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON

This price is based solely on the pounds and ounces merchants knowing that the selection takes his chance here off 9lb worse terms than when beating Thorpe Bay over six furlongs on Saturday. It fails to take into account a couple of factors, though. The selection was making his fibresand debut that day, and overcame the coffin box stall 1 draw over the six furlongs at Southwell - a feat not often achieved. He had no problem with the kickback, and looked a natural on the surface. He has won off higher marks than this, and it has to be said he didn't get the best of rides the other day - he was in front travelling well far too soon, but he really put his head down and battled for the win. A strong pace is likely today with Rambo Will and Spic N Span in the line up, and that will suit Fairy Wing perfectly. Martin Harley should simply sit in behind the leaders from stall five and make his challenge inside the furlong. He is four times the price of Thorpe Bay, and has won a handicap carrying 10-0 before so the fact that he carries 9-9 doesn't bother me. 8/1 looks very good each-way value.


Profit & loss: day: +27.60 / month: +11.25 / year: +34.06

No comments: