2.35 Southwell Ryedale Dancer 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 22/1 (Bet 365, William Hill, guaranteed, 20/1 VC Bet, Coral, guaranteed)
A moderate filly but one by Refuse To Bend, whose progeny have an outstanding 29% strike rate at this course. The selection was having only her third fibresand start last time out when she showed up very well but was pressured hard on the lead. She also came from stall 1 that day which is a big negative at this track, because the surface next to the rail rides slower. On her previous start, she had run Upper Lambourn to two lengths and was probably a bit better than her finishing position. Stall eight this afternoon is a much better draw and she looks overpriced at the odds - she should be more like a 12/1 shot in my view and is well worth backing each-way.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -11.35 / year: +11.46
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