2.55 Doncaster Mr Moss 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 12/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
A really decent handicap chase. Mr Moss has course form from this card last season, when Beneficial Reform got the better of him following a protracted duel to the line in a Novice Chase. That rival reopposes on better terms, but Mr Moss has gone on well this season and seems to be developing into a decent stayer, as a result he gets the nod. His defeat of Emmaslegend last April is working out well, and a recent third to Wyck Hill on ground that would have been soft enough for him would suggest he is improving and probably well handicapped off a mark of OR132. In addition, there seems to be a bit of potential pace in this race and Paul Moloney's mount may have the race set up for him: he strikes me as a horse who travels really well, stays, but doesn't find a whole lot in front so a big field like this could be the making of him. 12/1+ is too big.
4.00 Lingfield Takeitfromalady 5pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Plenty of pace on here too with Loyalty, Aquilonious and Dr. Redeye all likely to set decent fractions. That might set it up for Takeitfromalady, who has his third run on polytrack this afternoon having impressed with a fourth in a strong looking Kempton handicap back in October. He has since transferred to Lee Carter, who seems to be able to get horses ready and has had some success with ekeing out improvement and wins from similar types. The booking of the excellent Graham Lee is interesting, and the price looks very fair.
Profit & loss: day: -1.00 / month: -7.00 / year: +15.91
No comments:
Post a Comment