Sunday, March 31, 2013

Sunday 24th March 2013

One bet for this afternoon, in the Irish Lincoln.

4.30 Curragh Ansaab 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Ansaab was the only horse to really give Sharestan a race last year, and subsequent events have shown he had an impossible task - Sharestan is a good quality, improving Group 2 animal and was probably laid out for last year's contest. The selection has been lightly raced since, but it is likely connections have targeted this race for some time and I don't buy the recent quote that he has been "a little behind" - they said the same and punted him off the boards last year! I think the ground will be fine and his Curragh run after the Lincoln would suggest he is well handicapped off a mark of OR93. The negative might be a low draw, but I think the ground will be fine for him and in a year when the race doesn't seem to have a Group horse masquerading as a handicapper apart from Tandem who I don't fancy, I make him a 9/1 shot so anything in double figures represents decent value.


Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: -16.35 / year: +6.46

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