2.00 Wincanton Backhomeinderry 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 11/1 (Coral, guaranteed, 10/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
Represents a small trainer who has a couple of course winners to her name. This is a shocking race, and with the Pipe handicap debutant attracting no money at all it might pay to take a chance on the selection. He is a potential improver on better ground, and having shown some ability in a much better race at Fontwell last backend, he followed up with a decent performance at Warwick on unsuitable ground last time out. He made a mistake at a crucial point there, but battled on to make headway before weakening on a surface which does not suit. He now has a handicap mark of OR95 and runs in a much weaker event here. The caveat is his breathing, he is out of Oscar whose progeny are known for occasional breathing difficulties and a tongue tie and his record of weakening tells you all you need to know. However, his last two starts have offered definite signs of life and, in the worst race he has contested yet, he makes appeal at double figures. Top weight should be no problem, he is a nice size of a horse who should carry it well (carried 12 stone for his point win).
3.25 Southwell Naughtybychoice 4pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
By a sire whose progeny excel at this track. The selection was sent off favourite over course and distance last time out, and things appeared to be going smoothly until he seemed to look around himself and hang in the final couple of furlongs. Whether there was a physical problem, or if he was merely displaying attitude is hard to tell, but connections have wasted no time applying sheepskin cheekpieces to sharpen his focus. In addition, a good 7lb claimer who rides the track well is given has been booked. I think he can win off this handicap mark, and given that this race does not look too hot, he is selected at a fair price.
Profit & loss: day: -4.25 / month: -28.25 / year: -5.34
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