Sunday, March 31, 2013

Wednesday 6th March 2013


Most of our focus from here on in will be on Cheltenham, I'm really happy with the shape of our ante post book with only 1pt ditched thus far (Village Vic). We still have more ante post bets to come before the festival itself.

Two interests for this evening.

6.00 Kempton Early One Morning 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 33/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Hugo Palmer is deservedly gaining a reputation for being a good trainer of fillies, and this 28,000 Guineas purchase made a promising debut three weeks ago despite her finishing position. The selection was very green, slow from the stalls and probably interfered with a little when in the rear, before making headway around the outside travelling well. She faded fairly quickly in the straight, but she may not have been wound up and the experience probably got to her. Her jockey handled her tenderly in the closing stages. It is interesting, then, that the cheap headway horse who ran on from the rear for second, Oratorio's Joy, is priced up 4/1 here when he was twice the price of the selection last time. I can't see why there is such a price discrepancy, the selection is quite well bred and could potentially improve a bundle for three weeks on her back, especially at this time of year. She is taken to cause an upset.

7.30 Kempton Colourbearer 4pts win @ 8/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 15/2 Stan James, Betpack.com, Independents, guaranteed)

Drawn widest of all but has been overlooked on the basis that his improved form last time out came on fibresand. It is far and away the best recent form on show here, though, and the selection is arguably performs as well on polytrack. The booking of an excellent, underrated jockey catches the eye and 8/1 is too big.


Profit & loss: day: -7.00 / month: -24.00 / year: -1.09

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