One race of interest today. We won't have any selections tomorrow.
3.50 Sandown - Bet 365 Gold Cup Chase
Tatenen 1pt each-way @ 40/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
Mr. Moss 1pt each-way @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
Tatenen jumped well for the most part before coming down in the National and if he has recovered sufficiently having gotten up and galloped around afterwards, I think he has a good chance of outrunning his odds. He has put in a couple of spectacular rounds of jumping this season and has long been on my radar as a well handicapped horse. He is the type who needs everything to fall right (no pun intended) but the return to a right handed track this afternoon should enable him to put his best foot forward. He excels at Ascot, but has only run here once and posted an RPR of 151 in a listed chase, many moons ago for Paul Nicholls. He looks nicely handicapped off OR136 this afternoon and the way the weights are framed here will suit him better than the National. There is no doubt he would be a shock winner but I think there is another day in the sun for him at some stage, at the prices I feel he is under rated and worth of each-way and win support to small stakes.
Mr. Moss has more obvious claims. His second at Doncaster came in a race where he pulled really hard, and I was surprised he got home so well to almost win. He doesn't look the most resolute in a finish and it is interesting connections use a tongue tie today, suggesting his breathing may not be 100%. If his jumping holds up, Sandown's sharper turns might suit him well, expect his jockey to produce him late but you might want to put in an in running lay at around 2.02 in case the stiff climb to the finish exposes a weakness in his temperament - the jury is out on that score at the moment and he is given the benefit of the doubt.
Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: -82.10 / year: +6.56
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