3.50 Newmarket Garswood 3pts win @ 14/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, Coral, Independents, guaranteed)
(Additional 0.5pts each-way double with Rasmeyaa 14/1 and 12/1 as advised)
I know it's sacrilege, but this horse reminded me so much of Sea The Stars with his action and relaxed manner when winning over seven furlongs on his reappearance. He has a beautiful way of moving and although he only won a handicap, connections believe he can make the step up in class and at the prices I think he is a value bet to do so. There is a question mark over his stamina, but he is so docile that I'd say there's every chance he takes the step up to a mile in his stride. Dawn Approach is probably the best horse in the race but is no kind of price and I'm keen to take him on first time out.
4.35 Thirsk
Dubai Dynamo 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 11/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Fieldgunner Kirkup 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Dubai Dynamo represents a trainer whose horses are coming to hand, they all tend to enjoy fast ground and this fella invariably runs well here. He isn't the best handicapped horse in the race by any means but he loves conditions so much that he is worth backing at double figure odds. I can't see him not running his race and he is drawn quite well in stall nine to tuck in and pounce late on.
Fieldgunner Kirkup is an improver and has snuck in at the bottom of the handicap. He has won here twice, will enjoy prevailing ground conditions and although this is a better race, he is only a five year old and seems to be in the form of his life. 16/1 is far too big.
6.45 Doncaster
Hopes N Dreams 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)
Klynch 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - E/W 3rd
A cracking sprint handicap, and I'm keen to take on the favourite first time out, she takes up a fair chunk of the book at less than 2/1. Hopes N Dreams likes fast ground and caught the eye last time out at Epsom, running on late over the sharp five in a race not run to suit. She can miss the break but appears to be still well handicapped and improving. Julie Burke gets on well with her and claims a useful 3lb.
Klynch is drawn on the other side and is another from the Ruth Carr yard (see Dubai Dynamo). All ground seems to come alike to him and he has won on good to firm. A strong gallop will play into his hands and this type of track, which suits horses coming from off the pace, is what he wants. He ran a nice race at Leicester last time out and appeals as well handicapped too.
Profit & loss: day: -11.50/ month: -10.25 / year: -3.09
No comments:
Post a Comment