4.25 Chester You Da One 2pts each-way AND 3pts win @ 15/2 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 7/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd
There is rain sweeping across Chester at the moment and a change in the going before this race gets underway is most likely in my opinion. That will not suit a few of these, and I'm not sure the current joint favourites will appreciate slower conditions. Of the outsiders, Tatlisu might present a threat at the bottom of the weights but You Da One really catches the eye for a stable and jockey who do well here, from stall three. The selection is a little bit of a fizzy type but ran a really promising race behind Mystery Bet at York in testing conditions over seven furlongs last year, suggesting he goes in the ground. After being turned over at long odds on on his three year old debut, he obliged at odds of 1/20 in a tinpot event last time out, but he at least showed his well being and impressed with the way he finished. The addition of a hood today might work a charm and settle him a bit better than he has been doing, if David Probert can sit handy (but not lead) and let the horse feel his way into the race, he can go very close. It is interesting to not the selection is half brother to a horse who won here on his only career start. 7/1+ is fair.
Profit & loss: day: -1.25 / month: -39.50 / year: -32.34
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