5.20 Yarmouth The Ducking Stool 4pts win @ 7/1 (VC Bet, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 13/2 Boylesports, Paddy Power, guaranteed)
Yarmouth is a track that lends itself to course specialists and The Ducking Stool can probably be regarded as one, having won three of four starts at the track. Her jockey Shelley Birkett has impressed in recent weeks and is good value for her 3lb claim in apprentice company. The selection can't be described as exceptionally well handicapped, but there is a bit of room to manoeuvre off OR65 and she actually won a better class of race last time she was here, pulling well clear with a rival who is arguably still improving and knows how to win. The same cannot be said for some of today's rivals: Landesherr in particular looks a frustrating type who doesn't tend to find much at the business end, and I would question Redoute Star's enthusiasm in a finish too. The favourite Final Delivery looks progressive, but I just have a slight reservation about him on this fast ground and it is important to remember he has not won on turf. The selection has ideal conditions, and you can forget her Southwell run last time out because fibresand just isn't her gig - ten furlongs on fast ground at Yarmouth definitely is. Anything 6/1 or better is too big.
Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: -26.25 / year: -19.09
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