A busy day for us, and we may have evening selections too, released before 5.15pm.
2.15 Chester Hollowina 1pt each-way @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
Bred very much to get better as a three year old stepped up in distance. Said by her trainer to have wintered very well and had no interruptions in her training or setbacks. Hollowina excelled herself on debut in beating a horse who had run well in Listed company previously, and she looked a filly of some potential. She got bogged down in the ground next time out but the replay shows she finished incredibly well against some Group class fillies. She is certainly up to competing at this level, the stable are in winning form, and the jockey rides the track well. She is also drawn well and if she handles the bends ok, I fancy she'll outrun her price.
This would be a maximum bet from stall 1-4, alas the selection must overcome stall nine. However, I think he is the fasted horse in the race and I'm confident enough of that to say that if he gets the lead, he'll most likely win. He has a piece of form from last year at this track where he took on some hardened Chester horses, and he had them absolutely goosed by the two furlong pole. He railed extremely well, and looked a natural at the track. He will need to get that rail either in first or second place, or sit on the outside in second, in order to win here, but he is fit, ran well at Epsom last time, and is usually sharp from the stalls. Paul Hanagan knows him well and rides Chester well. It might be a frustrating bet in that we won't win if Hanagan tucks him in, if he is aggressive he takes the beating and at double figures I'm happy to base the bet on that.
3.25 Southwell Grivola 1pt each-way @ 14/1 (Boylesports, guaranteed, 12/1 generally guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
I can't tell you anything about this horse except that he is bred to appreciate the surface (sire won here) and he represents a stable whose modus operandi is to have their horses ready first time out - that includes a first time out winner at this track last year. The draw has been kind and Martin Dwyer takes the ride. I'm happy to take a risk here to moderate stakes at a big looking price - from the stable's record alone I'd make him an 8/1 shot.
Profit & loss: day: -12.00 / month: -38.25 / year: -31.09
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