4.00 Redcar Eltheeb 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)
David O'Meara has his string in blinding form, and they were unlucky not to have at least one winner on Saturday (could have been three on another day). He sends three to contest the Zetland Gold Cup and while War Poet is not passed over easily under Kieren Fallon, Eltheeb's run at York last time was promising enough to make him the pick this afternoon. The selection was quite keen over the mile and a half trip, and I would suggest the drop to ten furlongs here may eke out further improvement. The market looks slightly skewed here, with Eshtibaak probably deserved favourite; saying that he is only as far ahead of his mark as our selection based on his last run and he had a hard enough race. O'Meara's older horses have an 18% strike rate at this track over the past five seasons and are profitable to back blind, at double figure odds Eltheeb looks a good each-way bet.
4.20 Carlisle Solar Spirit 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
It doesn't seem to have been picked up that Solar Spirit has never won on ground with firm in the description, he doesn't want a bog either but he did look a bit ill at ease at Catterick last time out and the rain this morning and afternoon at Carlisle can only improve his chances in my view. He needs to be forgiven that last run, but he may have had an off day given that he was turned out quickly and with Tracey Waggot's stable having probably their best ever year, he is selected at a nice price. His penultimate run at Thirsk came in a hot handicap which has thrown up winners, again that was on good to firm and he may not have enjoyed it - he also made his challenge on the far rail which may not have been favoured. Three weeks off should have freshened him up and at 12/1 he is suggested each-way in a race with pace in it, which should play into his hands.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +34.50 / year: +41.66
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