Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Wednesday 29th May 2013

There is one decent looking opportunity at Kempton this evening.

6.55 Kempton Jay Bee Blue 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (VC Bet, 11/1 William Hill, both guaranteed, 10/1 generally guaranteed)

Jay Bee Blue comes out well on ratings here, with his RPR figure joint top with the favourite Duke Of Destiny, and his topspeed figure just 1lb off the favourite. The selection has been a model of consistency since joining Sean Curran last summer, and his record on polytrack is one of gradual progression. He ran a really nice race behind Intomist and Athletic (reopposes) last time out and he is entitled to come on for that run given it was his first of the season. He travelled really well that day, was slightly hampered at one point, and hit the front before fading when his exertions, and perhaps the fact that he challenged on the far rail, took their toll. He could very well bounce tonight but I think that's unlikely given he is only a four year old and didn't seem to take all that much out of himself last week. He has a really good draw in stall 1 here, and I think he'll get a lovely tow into the race from Tenbridge and Shahrazed. They look like the only obvious pace angles (drawn 2 and 4) and there are a lot of hold up performers in here. I don't see the pace being manic, and if the usually excellent James Doyle can take a handy sit and get him into a nice rhythm, I think he might well get first run on the hold up horses and hold on to land double figure odds.

Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +19.50 / year: +26.66

No comments: