6.45 Fffos Llas The Dandy Yank 5pts win @ 6/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 11/2 generally guaranteed)
Improved and posted a decent effort on his third start behind two decent Hannon 2yos at Windsor last time out, displaying a high cruising speed in the process. I think he looks a better horse on that run than any of the market principals and my only slight concern is his weak finishing effort. However he still looked a bit green and that is forgiven, some juveniles take longer to come to hand than others. The Qatar Racing horse looks a ridiculous price based on his first effort and the selection looks good value for a stable who have had one juvenile winner here from just four runners in the last five years, and seem to be hitting form.
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Afternoon Bets:
An excellent day yesterday with a pair of good priced winners. June was our most profitable month since December 2010.
One race of interest this afternoon, and a possible evening bet released before 5.30pm.
3.15 Wolverhampton
Claim The Roses 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON 30c Rule 4
Laughing Musketeer 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 22/1 Paddy Power, William Hill, Independents, guaranteed)
It looks like there are a few handicap set ups in here, Chinese Jade and May Whi in particular, as well as probably the two outsiders. With neither of the market leaders looking like superstars or anything close, the race becomes a viable each-way proposition. Ocean Storm is my idea of the likely winner, but he has had four starts already and should be taken on. Solidarity showed nothing at Sandown and passed no horses, seeming very green. I'm not a Clever Miss fan, I think her maiden form is very moderate.
Claim The Roses is a surprisingly big price for a well bred newcomer representing a yard who, although note noted for juveniles, have some quality in that department this season and have had their three two year olds to run all go well first time out, albeit without winning. Genuine Quality ran particularly well first time out behind Rasheeda with today's jockey Jimmy Fortune booked. For that reason Claim The Roses must have a chance. He is by a sire, Speightstown, whose progeny go particularly well on this surface and he cost 120,000GNS at the sales last winter. He is drawn well and looks too big at 16/1.
Laughing Musketeer represents a trainer not noted for handicap set ups, who prefers to get his horses winning maidens where possible. A 16% strike rate in two year old maidens over the past five seasons is very respectable, and I didn't think the selection was a forlorn hope after his first run. Ridden by a relatively inexperienced 7lb claimer, the selection travelled well to a point but struggled to get cover and probably wasn't enjoying the ground by the looks of things. He is by a sire with an 18% strike rate at this track and may improve with Martin Lane taking over in the saddle. 20/1+ is too big and he is also well drawn.
Profit & loss: day: +17.64 / month: +17.64 / year: +137.85
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