Friday, July 26, 2013

Saturday 20th July 2013

Just one race of interest this afternoon, evening bets will follow before 5.30pm.

3.50 Newbury

Lexington Rose 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Bet 365, Boylesports, SeanieMac.com, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed)
Biography 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 (Bet 365, Stan James, Betpack.com, Coral, guaranteed)

An interesting renewal and a race I'm keen to play in given our success with juveniles this season so far. Lexington Rose is a point and shoot job here, she was deeply impressive last time out when making all at Musselburgh. She is well weighted and looks a fast filly who will appreciate the prevailing ground conditions. I would have made her shorter on the back of that last win.

The potential fly in the ointment is the chance of a pace burn up between Meritocracy, Lexington Rose and Orton Park, who are all drawn close to each other. Wily Richard Hughes is drawn close by in stall 23 on the Hannon second string Biography, who looks for all the world as though hold up tactics will improve him. Hughes is on record in this morning's Racing Post as saying he prefers Lilbourne Lass, thinking this trip is sharp enough for Biography, but he might have come up trumps with a good tow into the race given his potential run style. Expect Hughes to switch the horse off early doors and see if the others come back to him. He is no 20/1 shot on form and I must say I like his chances of running a place at least


Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: -43.86 / year: +74.35

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