6.50 Kempton Thatchit 5pts win @ 10/3 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Represents Paul Cole whose juveniles are having a good season including at this track. The selection was a relatively expensive purchase and is by Invincible Spirit, whose progeny have a respectable 16% strike rate at Kempton. She made her debut in the conditions event won by Majestic Alexander at Windsor, which was a strong race in my view, but has been hard to rate by handicappers given the fact that Fast bombed out and there were two horses making their debuts. Majestic Alexander has run well since, and I think there is improvement to come from Thatchit at six furlongs. She is very much bred to be better on this surface, and she looks good value against the favourite whose maiden second last time I'm not so sure about, and who also has to overcome a wide draw.
7.20 Kempton Living Leader 4pts win @ 10/1 (Boylesports, SeanieMac.com, guaranteed, 9/1 generally guaranteed)
Has always looked a talented horse but seems lazy, a slow learner, and sometimes he struggles to lay up with the early pace. A first time visor is a applied this evening and the bet is mostly based around that - if it sharpens his focus, I actually think he could be a grade better than these horses. He was tested in much better company in a class two event on his penultimate start at Newmarket, and connections seem to be trying to find his niche - it is apparent they think a lot of him. There doesn't appear to be anything overly progressive in here and a calculated gamble is taken on the visor making a difference at the current prices.
Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: -11.86 / year: +106.35
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