3.45 Newcastle Mash Potato 6pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON
The progeny of Whipper are, perhaps somewhat surprisingly, improving with time and distance, and they are also very profitable to back on soft and heavy ground. Mash Potato came up against a handicap blot last time out, but was well clear of the remainder of the field and will be better suited by softer ground this afternoon, at a track he has already won at. The favourite might end up being a Group horse or something like that, but his attitude was questionable at Leicester last time out and he might not be in love with the game. The rest look beatable and unless the favourite does improve, I think this is at the mercy of the selection who might be very well handicapped off OR60. I like this as a bet and am having a decent stake on.
3.55 Newbury Lady Chantilly 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Bet Victor, Betfred, Totesport, Sporting Bet, Independents)
Newbury has taken plenty of rain this morning according to satellite pictures, and I would suggest the sting will be taken out of the ground and it might well end up good with good to soft in places. That might liven up the betting for this contest and one filly who definitely won't be inconvenienced is Lady Chantilly. She displays quite a lot of knee action and has a definite influence for soft ground on her dam's side. Six furlongs has looked to stretch her last twice, and the return to five furlongs on ground without sting could see her improve quite a bit. She wasn't disgraced in the Prix Robert Papin last time out and this drop in class ought to be in her favour. Cathy Gannon rides and she looks a fair bit overpriced in my view.
Profit & loss: day: +24.00 / month: +59.24 / year: +192.44
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