3.15 Wolverhampton Alquimia 2pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, VC Bet, William Hill, Racebets.com, independents, guaranteed)
Represents Ed Dunlop's stable, who are in fine form at present and boast a 19% strike rate with juveniles at this track over the last five seasons. Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has an 18% strike rate at the track, and owner Sir Robert Ogden seems to have a liking for Dunstall Park; his horses have a 4/10 40% strike rate here over the past five seasons. The selection made a nice debut in a strong Newmarket maiden, but looked a little one paced and was unable to quicken on the surface. The good to firm conditions may not have suited this daughter of Medicean, and given her pedigree I would expect much better on artificial surfaces. She has a strong U.S.A. influence on her dam's side, and Medicean's progeny have a 14% strike rate at this track. She probably has the favourite Simple Magic to beat, but that rival has looked a little quirky so far, failing to finish her race first time out, and plenty keen enough before running on strongly second time out. At the prices I'm happy to take her on and the selection looks good value touching a double figure price.
Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: +64.24 / year: +197.44
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