7.20 Wolverhampton Amadaffair 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Represents a stable whose juveniles tend to come on for a run and I was quite impressed with the way she went about her business first time out. This is a case of her having the strongest form on offer in my view, and if she comes on for the first start at all, I think she should beat these. I think she might be backed at the current price, I'm not sure the Ffos Las race Flashy Queen ran in was any good at all, and I'm happy to take she and Alfie Lunete on at the prices.
_________________________________________________
One selection for this afternoon, and a possible evening bet to be released before 5.15pm.
2.00 Thirsk Johara 2pts each-way @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
I'm quite surprised it seems to have gone under the radar that Chris Wall has bothered sending this filly to Thirsk from Newmarket, presumably for a bit of soft ground, with Ted Durcan in the saddle as a one trick jockey (only ride of the day). The selection made a nice debut at Kempton, held up but travelling strongly in a decent fillies' maiden, ultimately failing to quicken on the surface. She is a big filly with some knee action, and I like the way she picked up the bridle on her debut once she was ridden early on. She got tired in the home straight, but I'd expect that given the stable aren't renowned for putting the gun to the heads of their two year olds. She now holds a number of entries in good sales races, which is interesting, and suggests she may not be on a handicapping program as many of her stablemates are. That indicates they think she is useful, their is some evidence of that in the debut run, and they seem to have gone to a bit of trouble with the entry here. It is a bonus that she has the best of the draw in stall 13/13, and I would hope Durcan can either grab the rail in the lead or close enough to it. Providing she gets a trouble free passage, she should go close and 12/1 is a pleasing surprise.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +33.99 / year: +167.19
No comments:
Post a Comment