Two for today.
1pt each-way double on today's selections - take guaranteed odds.
2.15 Newcastle Roachdale House 5pts win @ 5/2 (Bet Victor, Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 9/4 generally guaranteed) - WON
Not a strong looking maiden overall and although a few will probably be backed, I expect Richard Fahey's Roachdale House to win unless the O'Meara newcomer is very good indeed. There is an inherent risk there, but I think the selection will run to an RPR 80+ this afternoon meaning that anything else that wins will have to be very good - particularly the debutant. Roachdale House was green on debut, but stayed on with two other good horses at the finish given nothing like a hard time, and on pedigree and knee action today's softer ground will suit, as will the step up to seven furlongs. If we knew Coin Broker was potentially very good, I'd still make Roachdale House favourite based on his race experience and trainer's better record with two year olds, all of which makes 5/2 look very fair here.
3.35 Ripon Ventura Mist 3pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, Coral, William Hill, guaranteed, 9/1 generally guaranteed)
I thought Venture Mist ran a really nice race at York despite appearing not to handle the ground and a chance is taken on her improving turned out quickly on ground she will handle, at a track she ran well on for her first two starts. Her trainer has a fine record at this track, and I would have made her a 13/2 shot in this company. There appears to have been an over reaction to the finishing position of her recent run rather than taking into account all the facts. The price is simply too big to ignore and we'll put her in an each-way double with our first selection too.
Profit & loss: day: +7.50 / month: +66.00 / year: +199.19
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