A great day for us yesterday with 14/1 and 11/2 winners (depending on what prices you got) and I'd like to thank everyone for the kind words as we had quite a few e-mails yesterday after racing. One or two enquired about the betting boards forum, the link is www.thebettingboards.com
A couple of today's prices were under threat so I decided to send all three early enough as I'm fairly sure the ground is soft.
We may have price alerts for tomorrow later on this evening.
I don't think there's too much in the draw but I think it takes a particularly good performance to win from the middle so anything drawn in the bottom or top ten of a big field looks ok to me. Imperial Legend is berthed in 23 and he has looked a sprinter on the improve all season. He travels powerfully and sees out five furlongs really well these days, he appears to be strengthening up with each run - he was doing all his best work at the finish last time out and he looked a long way from the horse who was getting beaten having traded long odds on (finishing weakly) earlier this summer. He also showed a liking for soft ground, and with a good 7lb claimer booked he looks the one to beat here - I don't fancy any of the three year olds on this testing ground.
2.50 Ayr Fast Track 5pts win @ 9/2 (Boylesports, SeanieMac.com, Paddy Power, Coral, Independents, guaranteed)
David Barron's string are in good form and he improved his record with juveniles at the track yesterday with Red Stargazer winning a maiden. Fast Track looks a talented horse who has long been waiting on rain softened ground. He shows plenty of speed for a son of Rail Link, and there is plenty of knee action there too suggesting he will revel in these ground conditions and enjoy this galloping track and stiff finish. I would make him shorter than 9/2 against the two market leaders. I may have very small savers on Oasis Town and Lad Chantilly, two horses I feel might improve for the ground, but I think the selection is a classy sort and he looks the best bet for the win.
4.00 Ayr Ashpan Sam 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Ashpan Sam is drawn in stall three and I would hope he can make all on the far rail. He looks very progressive indeed and he shot a decent field to bits on rain softened ground last time out. There is little doubt he is in the form of his life and the only question is where the ceiling of his ability lies. Connections were talking of a tilt at the Ayr Gold and Silver Cup but he only gets into the Bronze and it is easy to see why he is one of the favourites. A big weight should not bother him and I think double figure odds are very fair.
Profit & loss: day: -13.00 / month: +98.30 / year: +363.09
No comments:
Post a Comment