5.00 Wolverhampton Genuine Quality 5pts win @ 3/1 (Bet Victor, guaranteed, 11/4 generally guaranteed)
Wolverhampton has been riding slow just lately and historically that can bring the U.S.A. suffix horses an advantage, rather like they have on Southwell's fibresand. I fins that it becomes more of a speed handicapping test than anything else and with today's five furlong maiden I'm hoping that holds true. Genuine Quality has finished second on all her starts, but six furlongs with Brighton's stiff finish was hardly a good piece of placement for her last start and she had had a nice break before that and might have needed the run. The selection has speed to burn but has struggled to get home in her races. It is noticeable from the Brighton run that she has a choppy kind of action which perhaps isn't suited to turf, and given her breeding I feel she might just improve on this surface. She breaks very well from the stalls and if she takes to this test, she could be a couple of lengths clear in no time if allowed to bowl along. If the surface allows her to keep up her top speed better than turf does, then I think the others might struggle to catch her. I'm prepared to take that chance at 11/4 or better.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +34.50 / year: +279.29
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