Just one bet for today - some good racing but not many opportunities.
4.05 Haydock Set The Trend 2pts win @ Betfair SP, 3pts place @ Betfair SP
Some of these have to be questioned with regard to their ability over track, trip and ground, and although Set The Trend definitely has it to do at the weights today (gives 13lb away to all his rivals in penalties) he seems to thrive under these conditions and it may be worth throwing away the weights and measures book and supporting him to register a third course success under Kieren Fallon. The selection seems to save his best for Haydock, and his game defeat of Magic Destiny three starts back, giving that consistent mare 13lb as it happens, marked him down as a tough horse to pass at this track. He has run sub par on two occasions since, but big field handicaps don't seem to be his thing and soft ground might have been an issue at York last time out. I think there is a potential market drift here - he really does seem to have a job on at the weights - so we might get a more than generous price about a course and distance expert. There is currently some 3/1 available on the place market - that too has the potential to drift at SP and there is definitely value to be had there. We'll weight the stake, unusually for us, towards the place part of the bet and stake at Betfair SP.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +33.00 / year: +277.79
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