3.30 Lingfield Canadian Run 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 20/1 (Bet 365, Ladbrokes, guaranteed, 18/1 William Hill, Independents, guaranteed) - WON
We backed Canadian Run last winter at Kempton when he justified strong support and won cosily, looking very much at home on polytrack in the process. It may be he is simply a polytrack horse, and there has been enough in his other form just lately to suggest he is in good form and has benefited from the application of a hood. His run at Epsom was promising, while a run on soft ground at Newbury is easily excused. The selection is drawn wide in stall 12 but that might not be a negative with the amount of kickback Lingfield is throwing up, and it is worth mentioning the stable's 21% strike rate here over the course of the last five seasons. He looks a little overpriced and is probably the best betting opportunity on an otherwise average looking Tuesday
Profit & loss: day: +57.60 / month: +142.70 / year: +407.09
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