2.30 York Pabusar 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
York sprints can be something of an enigma regarding pace and the draw, but a chance is taken on Pabusar nonetheless. The selection has a standout piece of form behind Hamish McGonagall from July 2012 over course and distance, and he again ran well here on his second course visit when third to Above Standard in June. He has gone well after this kind of break before, and his trainer Jamie Osborne is in good form - the stable had a winner the other night with another switcher, Mr. David. A first time hood is applies and Jamie Spencer is booked. The handicapper has been kind here, and the selection should be able to go close off a mark of OR92.
4.15 York Chancery 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Ladbrokes, William Hill, guaranteed, 11/1 Bet Victor, Coral, guaranteed)
Riding chancery around here must be like driving a Rolls Royce. He is a strapping big son of Street Cry with a giant stride, which suits this track down to the ground. Top weight will hold no fears and I've wondered over the course of the summer if he is better than handicap class at this track. I think he can win again off a mark of OR99, he is a difficult horse for the handicapper to weigh up such is the ease with which he travels. A big field and strong pace is right up his street, he travels that well that his jockey has gotten there too soon on both occasions he has won here this summer, and I hope he holds on to him for as long as he dares. He will be very difficult to keep out of the places here is he turns up in the form he has been in, and I find it difficult to visualize a horse passing him - it will take a good performance to beat him and a double figure price is just too big.
8.40 Wolverhampton Paddy's Bay 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Kevin Ryan doesn't tend to train many OR55 rated no hopers, and I think there was enough in the selection's last run to merit backing him against the favourite at six times that horse's price this evening. The selection set off far too fast on what was his first polytrack start, under an apprentice pilot. He seemed to enjoy the surface and had the lead until the home turn when he came under pressure and faded. I'm not sure if he really took to blinkers the last twice either, and at the odds I'm banking on first time cheekpieces and the booking of Neil Callan unlocking more improvement. He is bred to be a bit better than this and if the new headgear and pilot can see him put it all together, he is no 20/1 shot in this field. Callan has been riding Wolverhampton well, and although I have no statistics on it I've noticed a few of these Sleeping Indian progeny act well on this surface since it was treated during the summer (Pull The Plug and Dangerous Age have three wins between them, with numerous placers).
Profit & loss: day: -14.00 / month: -74.80 / year: +385.19
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