5.00 Newmarket
Stevie Thunder 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 28/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 25/1 generally guaranteed)
Tiger's Tale 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Ladbrokes, Boylesports, guaranteed, 14/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 3rd @ 20/1
I sometimes think older horses are underbet, and I think that might be the case here with Stevie Thunder, who excels under today's conditions and looks very well handicapped off a mark of OR83. The selection has a couple of good course runs to his name, but his course and distance second behind Prince Of Johanne in the 2011 Cambridgeshire sticks out a mile. He has a couple of pieces of course form that would give him a chance and, looking through his 2013 form, I can make excuses for him having not performed to his best thus far. He is too well handicapped to ignore and 28/1 is far too big.
Tiger's Tale has the services of the excellent Richard Hughes in the plate and he is another who has strong course form to his name. He excels under these conditions and is still relatively lightly raced for a four year old. I think there has been a concerted effort to protect his handicap mark with a view to a late season campaign in races like this one, and although the Cambridgeshire itself was probably the prime target, the £18k pot is not to be sniffed at and I would make the selection shorter than his current odds of 14/1 in my own book.
Profit & loss: day: +0.00 / month: +133.70 / year: +398.09
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