Sunday, October 6, 2013

Monday 30th September 2013

One bet for today.

4.40 Hamilton Barkston Ash 2pts each-way @ 20/1 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes, many independents, get guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP - WON (bfsp: 23.0)

Barkston Ash is an absolute monkey, and nor do I trust these Kyllachys once they decide to chuck the towel in on a regular basis. He has looked all at sea on his last two starts, spitting the dummy at Ayr before totally resenting blinkers at Chester two days ago. There can't be a physical problem, given that he is turned out quickly, and I'm going to take a chance at the prices that the return to better ground, a track he likes, and his favourite headgear will spark a return to his best form, which he had no problem showing when winning at Redcar three weeks ago. He has a piece of form over this course and distance, behind Hopes N Dreams, which if taken literally and reproduced would make him hard to beat, and given that the likely strong pace should suit him, I'm inclined to take a chance on him at a big price. He is probably as likely to come last as first, but he is very good on his day and his trainer has had a couple of horses bounce back from poor runs lately (indeed Barkston Ash has done the same in the past).


Profit & loss: day: +70.90 / month: +195.60 / year: +459.99

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