Tiger's Tale ensured no loss on the day yesterday, running on well for third.
3.45 Ripon
Love Island 1pt each-way @ 18/1 (Stan James, guaranteed, 14/1 generally guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
Seems to act well at Ripon and might well remain progressive. Her Pontefract second last time out looks like solid form and although this is a much better contest, some of her rivals are out of form and / or look handicapped to the hilt and will need career bests to win. I think Love Island represents a good speculative bet at the prices and we'll play each-way and win with a portion of the bet at Betfair SP, which I think has the potential to be 20/1+.
Dance And Dance 1pt each-way @ 28/1 (Generally guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
The Rectifier 1pt each-way @ 50/1 (Generally guaranteed) AND 1pt win @ Betfair SP
A strong renewal of this great handicap, but of the unexposed more obvious types, nothing stands out as remotely any value and I feel there could be a minor shock on the cards. Dance And Dance was one of the most overbet horses of the summer, but unlike Mac's Power who filled that role in 2011, the selection has probably had genuine reasons for his failures rather than not finding much off the bridle. He has been handicapped out of things in my view and off a mark of OR95 under his ideal conditions today, he might pop up and what will be an annoyingly big price for some of those who have tipped him all summer long.
The Rectifier is in form, unexposed, improving for his new trainer and hold up tactics, seems to enjoy a big field, and looks a ridiculous price at 50/1. He ticks a lot of boxes for me and the booking of Seamie Heffernan looks very eye catching. A good course run seven days ago does nothing to put me off, and if he improves for the step up in trip and stronger pace, he ought to be thereabouts at a massive price.
Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: +124.70 / year: +389.09
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