Some really good racing today and we have three betting interests.
Toto Skyllachy is an eight year old now, but he continues to run well for his top handler, who has probably improved him since acquiring him in 2012 (four wins and a string of solid handicap performances since then). What interests me here is the selections' penultimate run over today's course and distance. I would have thought the ground would have been on the soft side for him, but he managed to hit the front having travelled well and was only beaten by two horses who clearly revelled in the conditions, with the three clear. A chance is taken that the selection can improve again on his preferred faster surface - a look at his form suggests he likes the ground on the faster side despite being out of Kyllachy. This big field and a likely strong pace should play into his hands, and if his jockey can simply tuck him in to the pack and produce him at the right time, I would suggest there is scope enough off a mark of OR87 for him to take a hand in the finish.
3.15 Ascot Morache Music 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 22/1 (Bet Victor, Stan James,, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 20/1 generally guaranteed)
Question marks about many of these, and I'm taking a chance Morache Music can produce a lifetime best and win here on a track he definitely enjoys. The selection has a win and a second to his name from two visits here, and he acts well with give in the ground. The galloping track and stiff finish suit him well, as evidenced by his defeat of Desert Law over course and distance last year. He has a potentially tricky draw in stall 18, but Steve Drowne knows him well and is one of the more intelligent jockeys in the weighing room - it won't take much to tuck him in but as to where the pace develops, it is hard to know, and the far side may have an advantage on the basis of yesterday's racing. These are factored into the price, though, and the selection comes here fresher than most with a good prep run behind him at Yarmouth. 20/1+ is too big.
4.35 Redcar Dubai Hills 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 16/1 (Generally guaranteed)
Dubai Hills is another who lines up today fresher than most, having returned from a mid season break with a below par effort at Carlisle last time out, That track doesn't suit him, though, and Redcar's galloping left handed circuit will be much more to his liking, as will faster ground. He may also have come on in terms of fitness. He drops to 0-85 company for the first time in a long time on turf today and although his stamina has to be taken on trust for the ten furlong trip, he has never tried it before so chances are he might find some improvement for it at this stage of his career. He is a relaxed type of horse and I would suggest he will settle and give himself every chance. His stable have a formidable 23% strike rate with older horses at this track over the past five seasons returning a profit of +£13.63 to the pound stake, and at the prices the selection looks well worth chancing with the unknowns certainly factored into the odds.
Profit & loss: day: -13.00 / month: -27.00 / year: +432.99
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