October starts today and the first thoughts of the National Hunt season proper abound, I'm not going to utter the C-word yet as it's a bit early for that but I'm really looking forward to the season ahead.
One for this afternoon, possible evening bets will be sent, details either way before 5.30pm.
5.30 Ayr Rasaman 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes, guaranteed, 8/1 generally guaranteed)
A decent little sprint, but as per the time of year nothing sticks out as overly well handicapped and it may be that the horse who has conditions and the race run to suit will land the spoils by a small margin. Rasaman appeals at the prices. He is a nine year old, but his trainer specialises in older handicappers and the selection's run behind Be Fifty Two at Newmarket last time was a decent one, particularly so given how keen he was early doors. He came home well over the six furlong trip and the return to five at a galloping track with a stiff finish will suit. The likely strong pace will play right into his hands, and he isn't drawn badly in stall 10 to come with a late charge down the outer. Any rail bias would scupper his chances, but that's guessing game territory at this stage and I don't really expect that to transpire. Rasaman knows how to win when things drop right for him, and if he gets the gaps he will be the horse most favoured if the rain stays away (only a few showers in the area and dry last 24 hours).
Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: -4.00 / year: +455.99
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