Wednesday 25th September 2013

Another nice winner yesterday, thanks for the kind comments sent in and I hope you enjoy spending the winnings! We're +407pts for the year now (dependent on your prices) and we're in a strong position to kick on from here. We've had a very profitable summer and I feel things are pretty much going better than they ever have been.

Very unappealing stuff today. We might have an evening bet released before 5.00pm, but that's 50-50 at this stage. One afternoon selection.

4.35 Perth Most Honourable 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Generally guaranteed)

This does not look a particularly good juvenile hurdle and a chance is taken on the well bred Darley cast off being good enough to land the odds on debut. You would imagine, given his breeding, that he will have plenty of speed and perhaps more flat ability than some of his rivals today. Following on from that, it is interesting his trainer has proved adept with having three year old jumpers ready for action in recent years. From just two three year olds I could find, one finished second on hurdling debut at 13/2, and one won a bumper at 7/1. A five year old mare also won a bumper first time out at 40/1. This to me would suggest the trainer is not in the habit of sending his horses to the races in need of experience. Most Honourable was bought in January, so would have had plenty of time to settle in. At a double figure price, I think he is too big and certainly worth chancing in a contest like this.

Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +137.70 / year: +402.09