Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Cheltenham Open Meeting Day Two

Another excellent card today, probably the highlight of the three days, and we'll hope for a better return than Friday.


12:40 JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered As The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y

Selection: Guitar Pete 3pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Guitar Pete has the excellent Brian Cooper in the plate and represents a trainer who is one of the best producers of top class hurdlers around. The selection's form looks very solid and his two battles with Lindenhurst represent the best early season Irish juvenile form in my view. It is hard to know just how good he is, but at the prices he is far too big in relation to Royal Irish Hussar. He shapes like a horse who will eat the hill for brunch, and we'll have a relatively small win only interest. Boylesports will give you your money back if he is second to the favourite.

1:15 Roy Blandford 65 Years At Cheltenham Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m110y

Non account bet: Shutthefrontdoor to win @ 5/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Not a race for big stakes but it should be really interesting to watch. I think African Gold is a little overbet in relation to Shutthefrontdoor, who was quite impressive and showed a good attitude on his chasing debut. He would be a token interest at the prices.


1:50 Murphy Group Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y

Selection: Goulanes 4pts win @ 11/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Goulanes goes well fresh, looks well handicapped, and represents a stable who obviously have a history of targeting this meeting. The opposition don't look that hot to me, and it looks the sort of race that a horse lined up for the race could win fairly handily. The likes of Spring Heeled and Godsmejudge have good form, but Goulanes looks the most likely to be ready for this test in my view. This looks like a stepping stone to the Hennessy and I think he'll be backed on course and take the beating.

2:30 Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f110y 

Selections:

Champion Court 3pts win @ 8/1 (Generally guaranteed)
John's Spirit 3pts win @ 9/1 (Bet Victor, guaranteed, 8/1 generally guaranteed) - WON

For me this renewal comes down to the above two horses. Champion Court will be well suited by the way the weights are framed here and he is selected even off OR157 because he jumps so well, and has looked bordering on top class on occasion. He was probably bottomed by taking on Long Run in the King George last year, and it is the mark of a top trainer and horse that he managed to beat Menorah at Aintree in April. He'll have been freshened up since, and this looks like it has been his target for some time.

John's Spirit looks the potential fly in the ointment. He won really easily last month and looks very well handicapped. He is a second season chaser who may or may not have more improvement in him - it is really hard to tell how far he will go - but if he travels as well today in this better grade against better horses, he will certainly be thereabouts at the finish. If he is taken out of his comfort zone by the strong pace, you'll know he isn't up to the class. I think the race could set up for him and he merits backing as well as the Keighley horse.


3:00 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y

Selection: Silver Eagle 4pts win @ 13/2 (Generally guaranteed)

Southfield Theatre is an excellent jumper of hurdles and a horse who I'll be following this year, but he takes a good grip of the bridle and I'm not sure this kind of test with a hill at the end of it will suit him. Silver Eagle represents a trainer whose string are in good form, who sent out a big priced outsider to finish second in the opener on yesterday's card. The selection was just behind Thomas Crapper last time out, that rival franked the form yesterday, and I would suggest there is further progression in Silver Eagle. He is too big at 13/2.


3:35 Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f

Non Account bet: Port Melon to win @ 4/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Not a race to bet in, but Paul Nicholls' Port Melon looks the part on paper and a successful U.K. debut looks a distinct possibility.

4:05 Ukash Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y

Non account bet: Legacy Gold to win @ 3/1 (Generally guaranteed)

Another one from the Pipe team. Legacy Gold probably has the best form in the book and, despite giving weight all around, should go close to winning here. Not a race I'd like to bet in, and the price is short enough for the type of contest, so it'll be a token suggestion only.


Profit & loss: day: +10.00 / month: -59.80 / year: +405.70

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