6.30 Wolverhampton Sunblazer 5pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON
Sunblazer has been a model of consistency on his last four starts and seems to have improve for the step up to longer distances, as the dam's side of his pedigree would suggest will eventually be his game. He was doing all his best work at the finish at Leicester last time out against a decent Dascombe filly and a good horse of Lady Cecil's, that was over twelve furlongs and he should probably improve again for the extra two furlongs this evening. He raced over course and distance three starts ago, but the track was riding extremely slowly then and he was probably sent for home too soon. He pulled clear before fading late on. Wolverhampton is riding faster lately and with a more measured ride, the selection can get his head in front for the second time. The form of that race has worked out quite well, and with the selection seeming to have improved since, and nothing overly progressive in here, he makes plenty of appeal at the prices.
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Afternoon bets:
Madame Elizabeth was very disappointing last night, it was there in the formbook but didn't translate to the track - doubly annoying given we had highlighted the eventual winner as the potential danger if fit.
One for this afternoon and a possible evening bet before 5.30pm.
3.45 Doncaster Brockwell 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 10/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 9/1 generally guaranteed)
Singspiel is not renowned for producing soft ground progeny but there is a definite mudlark influence in Brockwell's pedigree on the Dam's side, with his mother related to a couple of soft ground performers, and Brockwell has performed well on soft ground, winning on soft at Haydock and performing well in arguably better company than this over the summer with cut in the ground. He is a good size of a horse and should have no trouble carrying this kind of weight, and the step down from class 2 company to what I would argue is probably a sub standard class 3 0-95 event for this track looks a good piece of placement on behalf of his trainer. This is his ninth race of the year, but he seemed to have been trained with the Cesarewitch in mind and I can't imagine he is over the top now. He was not disgraced at Newmarket having been under pressure early enough, and I would suggest a more patient ride on a track that might suit him better (left handed and galloping like Haydock where he has won twice). He has been really consistent in terms of the ratings he has posted this summer and deserves a win - he regularly runs above this handicap mark and as such should be able to beat this lot given that they are essentially inferior horses.
Profit & loss: day: +20.00 / month: +42.27 / year: +505.27
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