Our hands tend to be a little tied at this time of year with racing starting so early - the markets have only just settled and bets have to be sent within a short timeframe. Today I'm adding an additional selection which was on our shortlist this morning, we may have further bets before3.30pm for Wolverhampton.
3.40 Southwell Putin 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - E/W 3rd
This stayed on the shortlist this morning because I wasn't sure about Phil McEntee's stable form, but he had Two No Bids run really well in the last, looking very fit and only getting caught close home. Putin becomes a really decent bet if we know he is ready to go this afternoon. The selection has actually won here over trips ranging from seven furlongs to a mile and a half, but he improved this summer for the drop to sprinting and he has no trouble with five furlongs these days. He is three pounds below his last winning mark of OR61 now, following a couple of below par efforts, but his last run here was ok from stall one over a trip which probably stretches him. He is up against quite a few professional losers this afternoon and if he can get close to the lead from a decent draw in stall nine, I think he will take some pegging back. His favourite headgear combination returns and he looks big in relation to the likes of Hannah's Turn, who hasn't showed anything since March (including on this surface).
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Afternoon bets:
Two for this afternoon, evening bets will follow before 3.30pm.
Like Clockwork is by Rail Link, whose stock are very effective on polytrack, but about whose progeny there is very limited evidence available regarding performance on fibresand. Rail Link is on the Dansili line, though, and Dansili himself has produce some notable fibresand performers. There is promise on the dam's side that the selection will act on the surface: he is related to Zenarinda who travelled really well here on a couple of occasions and is twice a runner up at the track. Like Clockwork has a couple of good all weather runs to his name, notably a strong travelling win at Kempton last year, and given that horse and stable are back in decent form, he appeals as the type to have a profitable winter on the all weather. Stall 12 wouldn't bother me particularly, and he is ridden by a jockey who has been doing well for the stable just lately. This isn't a strong contest and 6/1+ is too big.
12.40 Southwell Chrissycross 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 10/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 9/1 Bet Victor, guaranteed, 8/1 generally guaranteed) - WON
Chrissycross looks a natural on this surface and both her runs here have been really strong, a wide margin winner of a maiden and a close second to Peter's Friend in October where the pair were well clear of some good fibresand horses. The selection is 8/1+ today where Peter's Friend is as low as 5/2 which looks all wrong to me. Chrissycross has the worst of the draw in stall one, which is a reverse of what happened last time when Peter's Friend defied stall 2 and being trapped on the inner to win, but I still think she is too big here. There is pace in the race with Maakir, Tenbridge and one or two others preferring to race prominently. This could set up for a closer, and Chrissycross is a strong travelling hold up horse who could benefit from a quiet ride. It won't be easy from stall one, but Robert Winston rides this track well and at the prices she looks a knocking bet.
Profit & loss: day: +24.25 / month: -24.55 / year: +440.95
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