7.00 Wolverhampton My Son Max 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (Generally guaranteed)
MY Son Max has raced eleven times on polytrack, and has won three of those starts, continuing to look progressive on the surface and leaving the impression that he might still be well handicapped. He has gone well fresh in the past and has won his last two starts at this course. He is drawn well in stall three, and should get a good tow into the contest, particularly if Equitania decides to take them along. Some of his form from earlier this year looks superior to that which has been achieved by the horses who are guaranteed to be fit, and the suggestion is that he is priced up here with his absence and the change of stable taken into consideration. Michael Blake has been getting winners, though, and given that the selection doesn't always need a race to show his best, he is taken to cause a minor shock at a decent price.
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Afternoon bets:
One selection for this afternoon, at least one evening bet will follow.
3.05 Lingfield Glastonberry 2pts each-way @ 14/1 (Bet Victor, 888 Sport, 12/1 generally guaranteed) AND 1pt @ Betfair SP - E/W 3rd
The weights and measures merchants have concluded that Glastonberry can't win here, having been 1 1/4 lengths behind Novellen Lad last time out. However, she has placed in the first three on 14 of her 20 all weather starts and still looks progressive and unexposed off OR76. She also seems to be a winter horse, having run up a sequence of good performances this time last year, which is always worth looking out for with mares in particular. In addition, that last run came after a 43 day break, which is long enough for a sprinter. She is only 21 days off the track today and that run along with the fact that she might just be in better condition given the time of year might be enough to see her turn in an improved performance. She is drawn better too, in stall five here versus stall eleven last time out, and is 4lb better off with Novellen Lad. The booking of Hayley Turner puts me off a little, because she has been off a few weeks and it can take time to get into the rhythm of these sprint handicaps, but prices of 12/1+ more than make up for any question marks and I think she rates the value bet of the afternoon.
Profit & loss: day: -1.00 / month: +10.00 / year: +398.45
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