Three selections for this afternoon. There is a small chance of an evening bet for Wolverhampton, details before 4.00pm either way.
Tante Sissi was wisely pulled up on her chase debut at Wincanton recently, when a tired mistake probably cost her the race given how well she was jumping. I don't think she was given the best ride by Choc Thornton, who allowed her to bowl along before slowing the pace, which seemed to disappoint her. She does go well fresh, so easing her and pulling her up before she had over exerted herself was the right thing to do, and you have to wonder if Choc had this race in the back of his mind. Connections would likely have mixed hurdling and novice chasing this season, and Tante Sissi looks well handicapped off OR125 for a horse with some very good course form. Her bumper second behind Swincombe Flame sticks out, and she always seems to run well at the track. Provided she settles ok and isn't feeling the effects of her Wincanton sprawl, she should go close and looks overpriced at the odds.
2.15 Wetherby Deepsand 4pts win @ 15/2 (Sporting Bet, 7/1 generally guaranteed)
This doesn't look a strong contest for the grade, and with Tim Easterby's recent runners performing better, Deepsand gets the vote here. His owner Trevor Hemmings likes having winners at the track, and the selection's sixth last time out came in a better race. He performed better than the finishing position suggests, because he got very buzzy early on when the first hurdle came up quickly and he had to fiddle his way over it. The horse never really got into a rhythm after that and probably did well to finish where he did. I find it interesting the selections has attracted some support this morning; the race looks weak with no standout candidate, and Zaplamation looks unlikely to get the strong pace he needs. Deepsand is reunited with a jockey who knows him well, the track will suit, and he is overpriced at the odds.
2.25 Sandown Deep Trouble 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 9/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON
Ben Case is a trainer I respect, and he seems to have brought on Deep Trouble gradually with a view to a handicap hurdles campaign this season. He excelled himself at cheltenham last time out when second to an Irish hotpot, clear of the rest, and I don't think the stiff finish suited such a strong travelling horse. Sandown's tighter track will suit and he won't mind the slightly less stiff finish here either. The booking of Leighton Aspell, who is riding arguably better than at any point in his career, is a positive, and at 9/1 he looks too big as opposed to the favourite, who looks to have a lot to prove despite being one of the Champion trainer's string he doesn't necessarily look well handicapped and it short enough first time out.
Profit & loss: day: +21.25 / month: +31.25 / year: +409.70
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