4.50 Kempton Fiftyshadesfreed 5pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
A decent little nursery. Fiftyshadesfreed looks overpriced here as the horse who seems to be improving and has no concerns over fitness, attitude or the suitability of the track. I'm not too keen on the Gosden horse (tongue tie, possible breathing issues) or the Meehan horse (flashed tail last time, unsold at the sales recently) and I think the race won by Castle Combe was fairly average. I thought the selection was pulling out more close home against Mersad last time out and I think it is likely he will do the same again this evening. The step up to a mile looks as if it will suit, and a 4lb rise for that last time out win does not look excessive. The price discrepancy here is too great and the 5/1 should be taken.
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Afternoon bets:
Just one selection. Evening bets for Kempton will follow before 4.00pm.
2.00 Lingfield Another Try 1pt each-way AND 3pts win @ 11/1 (Bet 365, Stan James, guaranteed, 10/1 generally guaranteed)
Ran in a much better contest than this on penultimate run under today's pilot Luke Morris and acquitted himself well, not beaten far. This looks akin to a class drop to me and unless Barbados Bob has recovered quickly from a hard race nine days ago, I think Another Try can top the rest of them. He didn't get the clearest of runs last time out and although he is drawn wide, the return of Morris is a huge bonus and I'd hope he can get a nice midfield sit. Double figures are too big.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: +11.00 / year: +399.45
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